Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.469255 12.061955 13.769816 15.732086 17.918892 20.275503 23.001528
2025-09-21 8.290719 10.432808 12.893157 15.907542 19.479337 23.554176 28.530712
2025-09-28 6.886212 9.279488 12.176696 15.900658 20.515019 25.997570 32.952290
2025-10-05 6.061895 8.651966 11.927154 16.304479 21.925760 28.821477 37.829782
2025-10-12 5.375467 8.083437 11.644589 16.571211 23.097901 31.327082 42.349055
2025-10-19 4.758691 7.517547 11.281048 16.655784 23.980426 33.446156 46.408688
2025-10-26 4.083962 6.782175 10.600884 16.228772 24.113339 34.548204 49.144419
2025-11-02 3.553024 6.189586 10.053530 15.918162 24.346931 35.747528 52.004246
2025-11-09 3.095056 5.651684 9.528124 15.580720 24.493527 36.798551 54.662969
2025-11-16 2.713395 5.188224 9.066383 15.287985 24.662709 37.856670 57.334440
2025-11-23 2.343535 4.699322 8.517601 14.813229 24.520081 38.444230 59.340641
2025-11-30 2.136112 4.463293 8.345881 14.897846 25.196638 40.205944 63.038990
2025-12-07 1.932189 4.213571 8.134891 14.910632 25.770682 41.851494 66.647998
2025-12-14 1.777208 4.035622 8.027539 15.078446 26.583942 43.869647 70.853855
2025-12-21 1.610808 3.815344 7.826306 15.071857 27.111926 45.467273 74.476400
2025-12-28 1.520501 3.733838 7.860870 15.458314 28.276116 48.055500 79.634388
2026-01-04 1.419630 3.618574 7.823231 15.713616 29.230900 50.344816 84.397917
2026-01-11 1.305290 3.460894 7.692875 15.794572 29.894651 52.195182 88.536257
2026-01-18 1.143843 3.179591 7.303538 15.385856 29.713566 52.703906 90.618879
2026-01-25 1.012861 2.948228 6.989282 15.088607 29.698915 53.463424 93.095091
2026-02-01 0.893611 2.726895 6.674211 14.765733 29.617567 54.101921 95.385306
2026-02-08 0.791347 2.531336 6.393210 14.485679 29.591355 54.818820 97.805674
2026-02-15 0.685497 2.309673 6.035849 14.031580 29.227935 54.958756 99.294745